The Rational Question
Falsifiable Friday #8
Thanks to everyone who signed up for my Roam course on upgrading your entire intellectual workflow with the most advanced techniques for knowledge work! 😀 Check it out here if you’re looking to create your best work.
Now, for the first time in a few months, on to the newsletter!
The major thing I’ve been working on lately, is the question of how rational people are.
Take a look at these three pieces of “folk wisdom”:
People believe what they want to believe anyway.
People have hundreds of biases, they are not rational, duh have you even read anything in psychology ever lol.
People are gullible, easily fooled by demagogues, fake news, and so on.
Could those be all wrong?
Motivated reasoning (and belief polarization) are much rarer than previously thought.
The biases and heuristics program has huge replication problems. It’s also questionable what a failure to see through some “gotcha” logic puzzles on a questionnaire, actually says about real-life human reasoning. And for some “biases”, such as the sunk cost fallacy, it’s dubious whether they’re actually irrational.
More on these things in the next weeks!
Enjoy your weekend,